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MOODY'S DOWNGRADES UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI'S DEBT RATING TO A3 FROM A2; OUTLOOK IS STABLE AT THE LOWER RATING LEVEL
"MOODY'S DOWNGRADES UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI'S DEBT RATING TO A3 FROM A2; OUTLOOK IS
STABLE AT THE LOWER RATING LEVEL RATING ACTION IMPACTS $789 MILLION OF RATED DEBT University of Miami, FL Miami-Dade Cnty Educational Fac. Auth., FL Higher Education Florida NEW YORK, April 19, 2010 -- Moody's Investors Service has downgraded University of Miami's (UM) municipal scale rating to A3 from A2 on tax-exempt bonds issued by the Miami-Dade County Educational Facilities Authority as well as taxable bonds (see Rated Debt section below). Moody's has also changed the global scale rating on UM's taxable bonds (Series 2007C and Series 2008B) to A3 from A1. The outlook on all of UM's debt remains stable at the lower rating level. The University had $789 million of rated debt outstanding in FY 2009. The rating action reflects unrestricted liquidity providing a thin cushion for expanded expense base with the addition of a hospital during FY 2008 and high amount of outstanding debt, large defined benefit pension plan which is even more underfunded due to recent investment losses, and weakening of consolidated operating performance, with significant exposure to healthcare operations. LEGAL SECURITY: Unsecured general obligation. DEBT-RELATED DERIVATIVES: The University has entered into a forward starting swap with a $20 million notional amount related to its notes and mortgages. The swap becomes effective in December 2010. As of May 31, 2009, the market valuation of the swap was negative $1.9 million for the University. CHALLENGES *Investment losses sustained during FY 2009 resulted in a significant decline in the University's unrestricted liquidity and caused the defined benefit pension plan ($627.9 million projected benefit obligation as of 5/31/09) to be increasingly underfunded (although pension plan investment return was 17.1% for the first 9 months FY 2010). This tightening of liquidity is a primary driver for the rating downgrade, with unrestricted financial resources providing a thin cushion for the University's large expense base ($2.1 billion of expenses in FY 2009) and high amount of outstanding debt ($864 million as of November 30, 2009). Expendable financial resources in FY 2009 would cover debt 0.2 times and operations 0.1 times. In FY 2009, the University had $357 million of unrestricted investments which could be liquidated within a one month timeframe (although unrestricted financial resources are much lower at $69.9 million, partly due to unfunded pension liability which is described in more detail below). This unrestricted monthly liquidity would cover a thin 64 days of cash expenses. Further, we note that the State of Florida has not yet adopted UPMIFA (Uniform Prudent Management of Institutional Funds Act) unlike most states. The adoption of UPMIFA could result in investment gains currently classified as unrestricted being reclassified to the temporarily restricted net asset category. *The University's consolidated operating performance has tightened and exposure to healthcare-related operations has increased with the hospital acquisition in FY 2008. Nearly half of the University's revenue is now derived from patient care, including the operation of 3 hospitals and a large faculty practice plan, with over 900 employed physicians. In FY 2009, UM generated a 1.2% operating deficit after achieving much stronger margins in earlier years. In FY 2009, the University generated a 6% operating cash flow margin and 1.5 times debt service coverage, compared to a 12.8% cash flow margin and 2.9 times debt service coverage in FY 2006. As described below, the University acquired a hospital in FY 2008 from a for-profit hospital chain. The initial years of operating University of Miami Hospital (UMH) have required working capital support from the University, with cumulative deficits of $19.6 million from acquisition projected through May 2010. However, UMH and UMHC (the University's cancer hospital and clinics) combined generated $243.8 million of net income during that timeframe, with management explaining that performance at UMH is largely due to the decisions not to relocate major clinical activity from UMHC to UMH. We expect that ongoing improvement of UMH operations will require a significant amount of board and management oversight. The consolidated performance of the three hospitals during the first half of FY 2010 is approximately $4.5 million better than budget, and UMH's standalone performance has improved during FY 2010 compared to 2009 by approximately $4.5 million. UM has focused heavily on expense containment across the board, including elimination of staff positions, and management reports that medical malpractice expenses, which had been highly variable in the past, are now more predictable. *The University's net assets are depressed by a large underfunded defined benefit pension plan, which was closed to new participants in 2007 but still had a sizeable projected benefit obligation of $627.9 million in FY 2009. The plan's assets experienced a 17% investment loss in FY 2009, resulting in the plan being underfunded by $252 million as of May 31, 2009. A small proportion of higher education institutions have defined benefit pension plans, with most pension plans structured as defined contribution plans. The University's required contribution to the plan has increased ($40 million contribution required in FY 2010), and in November 2009 the University borrowed $20 million of taxable bank debt to make a contribution to the plan. Although the University has closed the plan to new participants, this liability is still large with potential volatility in required annual contributions creating a credit challenge. *UM maintains an affiliation agreement with Jackson Memorial Hospital (JMH), a large urban safety net hospital in Miami which serves as a teaching hospital for UM's Miller School of Medicine. UM physicians had approximately 35,000 admissions at JMH in 2009. JMH (not rated by Moody's) is owned by Miami Dade County and governed by Public Health Trust Board (appointed by County Commissioners). JMH is currently experiencing significant credit challenges of its own and we will continue to monitor any potential financial implications on UM. UM's management reports that payments from JMH for services provided by UMH physicians at JMH comprise approximately 5% of UM's operating revenue. Further, the University currently has an outstanding $52 million receivable from JMH. STRENGTHS *UM maintains a healthy student market position and research profile as an urban comprehensive university and South Florida academic medical center and healthcare provider, including the three hospitals, large faculty practice plan, and multiple ambulatory care centers. In fall 2009, the University enrolled 14,855 full-time equivalent students and generated a high net tuition per student of $25,162, with a 4% undergraduate tuition increase planned for fall 2010. Freshmen selectivity and matriculation have weakened slightly in recent years as the University competes with both lower-priced state public universities as well as other private universities nationally. In fall 2009, UM accepted 44% of freshmen applicants and 21% of those accepted chose to enroll (compared to 38% selectivity and 27% matriculation in fall 2007). Approximately two-thirds of the student body is undergraduate, with a sizeable graduate and professional population including medical, business, and law schools. *The majority of University of Miami's debt is fixed-rate (all debt except for operating line of credit which has a $100 million authorization although no amounts currently outstanding under the line). Further, the University has only one small interest rate swap outstanding. In addition to the University's relatively conservative debt structure, with minimal exposure to variable interest rates or swaps, UM has not invested heavily in asset classes with limited liquidity. As of 5/31/09, the University reports that nearly 60% of all cash and investments at that time could be liquidated within one month and an additional 32% could be liquidated within a one year timeframe. Given the University's sizeable healthcare base and resulting potentially more volatile operations, we believe that the University's modest exposure to highly illiquid asset classes is a credit strength. Endowment spending represents a very small piece of the University's revenue base, less than 3% in FY 2009. *UM continues to demonstrate very strong fundraising success, even post-completion of a $1.4 billion comprehensive capital campaign which concluded in December 2007. During FY 2007 through 2009, annual gift revenue averaged $112 million, and management reports that cash gifts received during FY 2010 are up 6.9% over FY 2009 at this point in time. *Management reports a slowdown in capital investment, with plans for additional student housing cancelled and a new student center currently deferred. UM is still evaluating the possibility of constructing an ambulatory care center and an academic building used jointly by the law and business schools. We will evaluate the credit impact of these proposed projects when project scope, financing, and proposed means for covering increased debt service are finalized. OUTLOOK: The stable outlook is based on our expectation that UM will continue to re-grow its financial resource base through positive investment performance during FY 2010, strong fundraising, and improving operations at UMH, including a plan to repay the University for working capital support drawn on during the past few years. What could change the rating--UP Significant growth of unrestricted liquidity coupled with improved operating cash flow and maintenance of strong student market and research positions What could change the rating--DOWN Significant additional borrowing absent growth of financial resources and cash flow to cover new debt service; material reduction in liquidity or cash flow levels KEY INDICATORS (fall 2009 enrollment data; first figure reflects FY 2009 audited financial data as of May 31, 2009 and second figure, if presented, reflects management-reported unaudited financial data for the first six months of FY 2010 as of November 30, 2009) Total full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollment: 14,855 FTE Freshmen Selectivity: 44% Matriculation: 21% Total Financial Resources: $578 million; $706 million Direct Debt: $921.3 million; $864.4 million Average Annual Gift Revenue: $112 million Expendable Financial Resources-to-Direct Debt: 0.24 times; 0.4 times Expendable Financial Resources-to-Operations: 0.1 times; 0.2 times Operating Margin: -1.2%; 4.1% Reliance on Student Charges: 22%; 24% Reliance on Patient Care Revenue (including faculty practice plan and revenue from hospitals): 47%; 49% RATED DEBT: Series 2007A and B Bonds: A3 municipal scale rating, certain maturities insured by Ambac (Ambac's financial strength rating is Caa2 on watchlist for possible upgrade) Series 2007C and 2008B Bonds (taxable): A3 municipal scale rating; A3 global scale rating Series 2008A: A3 municipal scale rating CONTACTS: University of Miami: John Shipley, Treasurer, 305-284-6297 or Joseph Natoli, Chief Financial Officer 305-284-6100 The municipal rating assigned to University of Miami was issued on Moody's municipal rating scale. Moody's has announced its plans to recalibrate all U.S. municipal ratings to its global scale and therefore, upon implementation of the methodology published in conjunction with this initiative, the rating will be recalibrated to a global scale rating comparable to other credits with a similar risk profile. Market participants should not view the recalibration of municipal ratings as rating upgrades, but rather as a recalibration of the ratings to a different rating scale. This recalibration does not reflect an improvement in credit quality or a change in our credit opinion for rated municipal debt issuers. For further details regarding the recalibration please visit www.moodys.com/gsr. The principal methodology used in rating University of Miami was Moody's Private College and University Rating Methodology, which can be found at www.moodys.com in the Rating Methodologies sub-directory under the Research & Ratings tab. Other methodologies and factors that may have been considered in the process of rating this issuer can also be found in the Rating Methodologies sub-directory on Moody's website. The last rating action was on March 21, 2008 when the University's ratings and outlook were affirmed. ANALYSTS: Kimberly S. Tuby, Analyst, Public Finance Group, Moody's Investors Service Roger Goodman, Backup Analyst, Public Finance Group, Moody's Investors Service CONTACTS: Journalists: (212) 553-0376 Research Clients: (212) 553-1653 Copyright 2010 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved. CREDIT RATINGS ARE MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC.'S ("MIS") CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. 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